Poll tracking |
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Methodology | Story
Poll Trackings
Wellstone Name Recognition | Favorable | Unfavorable | Neutral | Don't recognize |
September 1995 | 37% | 36% | 25% | 2% |
January 1996 | 42% | 30% | 27% | 1% |
May 1996 | 40% | 39% | 20% | 1% |
September 1996 | 42% | 36% | 22% | -- |
October 2001 | 45% | 31% | 24% | 2% |
February 2002 | 48% | 30% | 20% | 2% |
June 2002 | 45% | 29% | 25% | 1% |
September 2002 | 51% | 34% | 15% | 1% |
Coleman Name Recognition | Favorable | Unfavorable | Neutral | Don't recognize |
February 1998 | 43% | 13% | 27% | 17% |
June 1998 | 39% | 18% | 27% | 16% |
August 1998 | 38% | 19% | 16% | 7% |
October 1998 | 41% | 27% | 27% | 5% |
November 1998 | 41% | 21% | 31% | 7% |
October 2001 | 39% | 16% | 34% | 11% |
February 2002 | 40% | 17% | 35% | 8% |
June 2002 | 43% | 21% | 33% | 3% |
September 2002 | 47% | 26% | 25% | 2% |
2002 Senate Vote | Wellstone | Coleman | Others | Other/Undecid. |
July 2001 | 48% | 44% | n/a | 8% |
October 2001 | 48% | 42% | n/a | 10% |
February 2002 | 46% | 42% | n/a | 12% |
June 2002 | 44% | 41% | 2% | 13% |
September 2002 | 47% | 44% | 4% | 5% |
Candidate | Recognize Favorable | Recognize Unfavorable | Recognize Neutral | Don't Recognize |
Paul Wellstone | 51% | 34% | 15% | 1% |
Norm Coleman | 47% | 26% | 25% | 2% |
Jim Moore | 6% | 2% | 27% | 65% |
Ray Tricomo | 5% | 2% | 19% | 74% |
QUESTION: If the 2002 election for Minnesota's Senate seat were held today, would you vote for Paul Wellstone, the Democrat; Norm Coleman, the Republican; Jim Moore, of the Independence Party; or Ray Tricomo of the Green Party?
Candidate | State | Men | Women |
Wellstone | 47% | 39% | 55% |
Coleman | 44% | 52% | 36% |
Moore | 2% | 3% | 1% |
Tricomo | 2% | 2% | 2% |
Undecided | 5% | 4% | 6% |
POLL METHODOLOGY
The Mason-Dixon Minnesota Poll was conducted September 12-14, 2002 by Mason-Dixon Polling & Research, Inc. of Washington, D.C. A total of 625 registered Minnesota voters were interviewed statewide by telephone. All stated they regularly vote in state elections.
Those interviewed were selected by the random variation of the last four digits of telephone numbers. A cross-section of exchanges were utilized in order to ensure an accurate reflection of the state. Quotas were assigned to reflect voter turn-out county.
The margin for error, according to standards customarily used by statisticians, is no more than plus or minus 4 percentage points. This means that there is a 95 percent probability that the "true" figure would fall within that range if the entire population were sampled. The margin for error is higher for any subgroup, such as a regional or gender grouping.
Sample Figures:
Men 311 (50%)
Women 314 (50%)
Region | Interviews |
Minneapolis/St. Paul | 347 interviews |
Rochester/Southeast | 70 interviews |
Southwest Minnesota | 67 interviews |
Northwest Minnesota | 69 interviews |
Duluth/Northeast | 72 interviews |