MPR: Poll: The race for governor and Senate

Poll: The race for Senate and Governor
By MPR News
Minnesota Public Radio
November 3, 2002

Poll tracking | Poll Results | Poll Methodology | Story

Poll Trackings

Moe Name Recognition	Favorable	Unfavorable	Neutral	Don't recognize
February 2002	28%	20%	39%	13%
June 2002	34%	20%	33%	13%
September 2002	30%	33%	28%	9%
October 2002	35%	33%	28%	4%

Pawlenty Name Recognition	Favorable	Unfavorable	Neutral	Don't recognize
February 2002	12%	5%	29%	54%
June 2002	19%	8%	38%	35%
September 2002	27%	19%	31%	23%
October 2002	39%	21%	33%	7%

Penny Name Recognition	Favorable	Unfavorable	Neutral	Don't recognize
June 2002	33%	3%	36%	28%
September 2002	40%	16%	31%	13%
October 2002	26%	21%	47%	5%

2002 Gubernatorial Vote	Moe	Pawlenty	Penny	Other/Undecid.
June 2002	32%	22%	23%	23%
September 2002	27%	28%	30%	15%
October 2002	32%	36%	16%	16%

STATEWIDE NAME RECOGNITION

Governor Candidate	Recognize Favorable	Recognize Unfavorable	Recognize Neutral	Don't Recognize
Tim Pawlenty	39%	21%	33%	7%
Roger Moe	35%	33%	28%	4%
Tim Penny	26%	21%	47%	5%

Senate Candidate	Recognize Favorable	Recognize Unfavorable	Recognize Neutral	Don't Recognize
Norm Coleman	51%	23%	25%	1%
Walter Mondale	45%	32%	22%	1%

Results:

QUESTION: If the 2002 election for Minnesota governor were held today, would you vote for Roger Moe, the Democrat; Tim Pawlenty, the Republican; Tim Penny of the Independence Party; or Ken Pentel of the Green Party?

Candidate	State	Men	Women
Pawlenty	36%	41%	31%
Moe	32%	28%	36%
Penny	16%	16%	16%
Pentel	2%	2%	2%
Undecided	14%	13%	15%

QUESTION: What is the main reason you support the candidate?

	State	Pawlenty	Moe	Penny
Party affiliation	24%	23%	29%	14%
Character and experience	17%	11%	15%	32%
Position on education	13%	7%	24%	3%
Position on social/moral issues	13%	18%	9%	8%
Position on taxes and government spending	12%	19%	4%	13%
Position on economy and jobs	7%	6%	7%	9%
Position on the environment	3%	1%	4%	4%
Other/Don't Know	11%	15%	8%	17%

QUESTION: If the 2002 election for Minnesota's U.S. Senate seat were held today, would you vote for Walter Mondale, the Democrat; Norm Coleman, the Republican; Jim Moore of the Independence Party; or Ray Tricomo of the Green Party?

Candidate	State	Men	Women
Coleman	47%	54%	40%
Mondale	41%	36%	46%
Others	2%	2%	2%
Undecided	10%	8%	12%

QUESTION: What is the main reason you support the candidate?

	State	Coleman	Mondale
Character and experience	33%	26%	41%
Party affiliation	29%	28%	31%
Position on social/moral issues	14%	19%	9%
Position on economy and jobs	5%	6%	4%
Position on taxes and government spending	4%	7%	-
Position on education	2%	1%	3%
Position on the environment	1%	1%	1%
Other/Don't Know	12%	12%	11%

QUESTION: Were you planning to vote for Paul Wellstone before his death?

Option	State	Men	Women
Yes	46%	40%	52%
No	47%	54%	40%
Not Sure	7%	6%	8%

QUESTION: Do you think Walter Mondale is the best choice to replace Paul Wellstone as the Democrat on the ballot, or do you think another person would be better?

Option	State	Coleman voters	Mondale voters	Others
Yes	55%	31%	81%	59%
Other	17%	33%	3%	5%
Not sure	28%	36%	16%	36%

QUESTION: Has Paul Wellstone's death changed your decision about who to support in the governor's race, or not?

Option	State	Moe voters	Other voters
Yes	6%	15%	2%
No	92%	85%	95%
Not Sure	2%	-	3%

QUESTION: Was your choice in the U.S. Senate race influenced by Tuesday night's memorial service for Paul Wellstone?

Option	State	Coleman voters	Mondale voters	Others/td>
Yes	17%	31%	3%	12%
Other	81%	68%	94%	84%
Not sure	2%	1%	3%	4%

QUESTION: In time, do you feel Paul Wellstone will be remembered as a great senator, a good senator, an average senator, or a poor senator?

Option	State	Coleman voters	Mondale voters	Others/Don't know
Great	34%	15%	59%	20%
Good	40%	39%	35%	57%
Average	13%	21%	5%	12%
Poor	7%	15%		-
Don't Know	6%	10%	1%	11%

QUESTION: Did you vote for Jesse Ventura in the 1998 governor's race?

Option	State	Men	Women
Yes	35%	38%	32%
No	64%	61%	67%
Don't Know/Not sure	1%	1%	1%

POLL METHODOLOGY

The Mason-Dixon Minnesota Poll was conducted October 30, 2002 through November 1, 2002 by Mason-Dixon Polling & Research, Inc. of Washington, D.C. A total of 625 registered Minnesota voters were interviewed statewide by telephone. All stated they were likely to vote in the November election.

Those interviewed were selected by the random variation of the last four digits of telephone numbers. A cross-section of exchanges were utilized in order to ensure an accurate reflection of the state. Quotas were assigned to reflect voter turn-out county.

The margin for error, according to standards customarily used by statisticians, is no more than plus or minus 4 percentage points. This means that there is a 95 percent probability that the "true" figure would fall within that range if the entire population were sampled. The margin for error is higher for any subgroup, such as a regional or gender grouping.

Sample Figures:

Men 307 (49%)
Women 318 (51%)

Region	Interviews
Minneapolis/St. Paul	346 interviews
Rochester/Southeast	71 interviews
Southwest Minnesota	68 interviews
Northwest Minnesota	69 interviews
Duluth/Northeast	71 interviews

PLEASE NOTE: This report is the property of Mason-Dixon Political/Media Research, Inc. It is not for duplication and/or redistribution. Copies of this report are available only through subscription. Subscribers are prohibited from providing this document to any third party. Any party in an unauthorized possession, engaging in unauthorized use. or involved in the unauthorized duplication or transmission of this document is subject to all applicable criminal and civil penalties.

Poll Copyright 2002, Mason-Dixon Political/Media Research, Inc. All Rights Reserved

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